The defeat of Iraq has opened the way for Iran. . . . Even now, Iran has deployed 46 brigades near the Iraq border. These are positioned to support Iraqi Shiites who want to form their own Iranian-backed state. Meanwhile, Saudi military officers have been defecting to the Iraq insurgency at the rate of 100 per month. According to Geostrategy-direct.com, 6,000 Saudi nationals may have already joined the anti-American side. Surviving fragments of Saddam’s army continue to fight the coalition (with Syrian support). It now appears that President Bush’s plan for Iraq cannot succeed unless Syria and Iran are overrun and pacified. Of course, such a plan is politically and militarily impractical. The United States Army is too small and the American people would not approve.
* * * *
. . . Since the Shiite majority dislikes America and cannot grasp the fundamentals of democracy, America’s democratizing effort amounts to the establishment of a new totalitarian theocracy (with a democratic veneer). The fall of Saddam has benefited Tehran, not Washington. . . .The coalition merely destroyed one totalitarian regime in favor of another.
* * * *
Strategically, the hour is late. It is not a question of holding the line against Iran. . . . It is a question of stopping Iran’s leading sponsors – Russia and China.
"The Iraq Diversion." By J. R. Nyquist, Geopolitical Global Analysis with J. R. Nyquist, 08/19/05 (emphasis added).
It will be interesting to see if the defecting Saudi officers are prosecuted. Col. Bunny's reckless prediction: Definitely, after Saudi men stop wearing dresses.
As for the part about overrunning and pacifying Iran and Syria, Mr. Nyquist is right. Failing decisively to defeat those who unequivocally declare themselves to be our enemies and, and act like it as well, will doom us to yet another war in which we content ourselves with half measures and tolerating cross-border sanctuaries that prolong the war (e.g., Korean War, Vietnam War).
Mr. Nyquist says Americans won't tolerate going after Iran and Syria. Tragically, that is probably so, although it is equally true that Mr. Bush will assume this to be true and will not make an honest effort to make the case to Americans for the necessity of painful sacrifice to ensure national survival.
Remember, that suitcase nuke is out there somewhere.
After it detonates in Washington, we will belatedly go after the real sources of terror. (Add Saudi Arabia to the list, by the way.)
Taking out, taking over, or punishing these three countries will do more to benefit the world than any other imaginable foreign initiative.
Why not now?
Mr. Nyquist sees the main enemy as "the old Communist machine." Even if he's right, the surrogates of Russian and China are a danger in its own right and the baleful influence of the Wahhabis causes untold diversion of material and intellectual resources. The Vietnam War was against a surrogate of the Russians and the Chinese and yet served a salutary purpose. The only error that underlay that war was the intellectual bankruptcy of the American political establishment that had before it the undisputable record of communist slaughter and terror and could not articulate an effective justification for a steel-based opposition to communism. President Johnson, no penetrating thinker it's true, thought he had to cook up the thinnest of Tonkin gruel for the rubes to justify his expansion of the war.
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